11/26/2024 | News release | Distributed by Public on 11/26/2024 12:46
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November 26, 2024
Prof. Shai Shalev-Shwartz and Prof. Amnon Shashua
Photo credit: VW
When it comes to autonomous driving, how safe is safe enough?
To date, even with thousands of self-driving vehicles on the road worldwide, and with AV commercialization on the near horizon, this question remains unsettled. One key benchmark so far has been mean time between failures (MTBF) -- basically, can a self-driving system drive better than an average human in terms of frequency of accidents or harm? This metric is easy to grasp and measure, but under close examination its limits become clear. Human statistics are heavily impacted by illegal and careless behavior; a self-driving system can't get drunk or text someone. More importantly, humans aren't just measured by accidents, but by avoiding reckless behavior - taking a duty of care toward themselves and other road users to avoid unreasonable risks. This is why we argue that while a high MTBF is critical, it is not sufficient to demonstrate a safe SDS.
After years of meaningful progress, both Mobileye and the industry at large now have a clearer picture for safety requirements around fully autonomous driving. Today in a new paper, we unveil a framework designed to deploy safe, self-driving systems at scale building upon two key principles:
The first requirement addresses the greater good baseline - adding self-driving vehicles to the road must not cause more harm than the status-quo of roads with human-driven vehicles, as measured by MTBF. However, this statistical measurement is not sufficient and therefore we complement it with a requirement of eliminating unreasonable risk - a sort of adjusted MTBF that incorporates the principles of transparency, accountability, and adherence to robust safety standards.
The difficult parts are to define the boundary between "reasonable" and "unreasonable" risk in a rigorous manner as well as to set up the methodology for eliminating unreasonable risk. For the technical details on how we do it please read our paper.
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