William Blair & Company LLC

11/05/2024 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 11/05/2024 13:28

Upstream Bio, Inc.: Initiation of Research Coverage

William Blair initiated research coverage of Upstream Bio, Inc. (UPB $24.76), which is developing the differentiated TSLP receptor antibody verekitug for multiple inflammatory pulmonary diseases, including asthma and COPD.

Analyst Matt Phipps, Ph.D., estimates that the company could receive initial approval in asthma and chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps (CRSwNP) in 2031, followed by approval in COPD in 2033.

"Verekitug has the potential to deliver differentiated efficacy and longer dosing intervals than currently approved biologics for the treatment of asthma," Dr. Phipps said, "most notably the TSLP antibody Tezspire, which targets the ligand. Upstream Bio is currently conducting two Phase II trials with verekitug, in asthma and in CRSwNP, with plans to initiate a Phase II trial in COPD patients in 2025. We believe demonstrating clinical efficacy at least on par with Tezspire with dosing every three or six months will support a blockbuster opportunity for the therapy given patient preferences for reduced dosing frequency-and preclinical analysis and early clinical data with verekitug already suggest potential for greater efficacy than Tezspire."

Dr. Phipps continued, "Targeting the TSLP pathway has demonstrated clinical benefit in a broader range of severe asthma patients, most notably the just under half of patients who do not have elevated type 2 inflammatory biomarkers. Initial Phase II results with Tezspire in COPD suggest potential for broader activity than IL-4Rα or IL-5 targeting antibodies in this indication as well. Thus, we believe clinical success with verekitug has the potential to continue to expand the commercial market for biologics in these indications, which remain highly underpenetrated."

William Blair is the premier global boutique with expertise in investment banking, investment management, and private wealth management. We provide advisory services, strategies, and solutions to meet our clients' evolving needs. As an independent and employee-owned firm, together with our strategic partners, we operate in more than 20 offices worldwide.*

View our research coverage list

*Includes strategic partnerships with Allier Capital, BDA Partners, and Poalim Capital Markets.

William Blair or an affiliate does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. This report is not intended to provide personal investment advice. The opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual client circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments, or strategies to particular clients. The recipient of this report must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities or financial instruments mentioned herein.

William Blair or an affiliate was a manager or co-manager of a public offering of equity securities of Upstream Bio, Inc. within the prior 12 months.

William Blair or an affiliate beneficially own or control (either directly or through its managed accounts) 1% or more of the equity securities of Upstream Bio, Inc. as of the end of the month ending not more than 40 days from the date herein.

William Blair or an affiliate is a market maker in the security of Upstream Bio, Inc.

William Blair or an affiliate expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services from Upstream Bio, Inc. or an affiliate within the next three months.

William Blair or an affiliate received compensation for investment banking services or non-investment-banking services from Upstream Bio, Inc. within the last 12 months. Upstream Bio, Inc. is or was, within the last 12 months, an investment banking client of William Blair and/or one or more of its affiliates.

Officers and employees of William Blair or its affiliates (other than research analysts) may have a financial interest in securities of Upstream Bio, Inc.

Please contact us at +1 800 621 0687 or view disclosures on our coverage list.

Additional information is available upon request.

Current Ratings Distribution (as of 11/4/24)

Coverage Universe
Outperform (Buy): 72%
Market Perform (Hold): 27%
Underperform (Sell): 1%

Inv. Banking Relationships*
Outperform (Buy): 8%
Market Perform (Hold): 1%
Underperform (Sell): 0%

* Percentage of companies in each rating category that are investment banking clients, defined as companies for which William Blair has received compensation for investment banking services within the past 12 months.

The compensation of the research analyst is based on a variety of factors, including the quality and accuracy of research, client feedback, contributions to other firm departments, competitive factors, and firm profitability.

OTHER IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

Stock ratings and valuation methodologies: William Blair & Company, L.L.C. uses a three-point system to rate stocks. Individual ratings reflect the expected performance of the stock relative to the broader market (generally the S&P 500, unless otherwise indicated) over the next 12 months. The assessment of expected performance is a function of near-, intermediate-, and long-term company fundamentals, industry outlook, confidence in earnings estimates, valuation (and our valuation methodology), and other factors. Outperform (O) - stock expected to outperform the broader market over the next 12 months; Market Perform (M) - stock expected to perform approximately in line with the broader market over the next 12 months; Underperform (U) - stock expected to underperform the broader market over the next 12 months; not rated (NR) - the stock is not currently rated. The valuation methodologies include (but are not limited to) price-to-earnings multiple (P/E), relative P/E (compared with the relevant market), P/E-to-growth-rate (PEG) ratio, market capitalization/revenue multiple, enterprise value/EBITDA ratio, discounted cash flow, and others. Stock ratings and valuation methodologies should not be used or relied upon as investment advice. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

The ratings and valuation methodologies reflect the opinion of the individual analyst and are subject to change at any time.

Our salespeople, traders, and other professionals may provide oral or written market commentary, short-term trade ideas, or trading strategies-to our clients, prospective clients, and our trading desks-that are contrary to opinions expressed in this research report. Certain outstanding research reports may contain discussions or investment opinions relating to securities, financial instruments and/or issuers that are no longer current. Always refer to the most recent report on a company or issuer. Our asset management and trading desks may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with recommendations or views expressed in this report. We will from time to time have long or short positions in, act as principal in, and buy or sell the securities referred to in this report. Our research is disseminated primarily electronically, and in some instances in printed form. Research is simultaneously available to all clients. This research report is for our clients only. No part of this material may be copied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of William Blair & Company, L.L.C.

This is not in any sense an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of a security or financial instrument. The factual statements herein have been taken from sources we believe to be reliable, but such statements are made without any representation as to accuracy or completeness or otherwise, except with respect to any disclosures relative to William Blair or its research analysts. Opinions expressed are our own unless otherwise stated and are subject to change without notice. Prices shown are approximate.

If the recipient received this research report pursuant to terms of service for, or a contract with William Blair for, the provision of research services for a separate fee, and in connection with the delivery of such research services we may be deemed to be acting as an investment adviser, then such investment adviser status relates, if at all, only to the recipient with whom we have contracted directly and does not extend beyond the delivery of this report (unless otherwise agreed specifically in writing). If such recipient uses these research services in connection with the sale or purchase of a security referred to herein, William Blair may act as principal for our own account or as riskless principal or agent for another party. William Blair is and continues to act solely as a broker-dealer in connection with the execution of any transactions, including transactions in any securities referred to herein.

This material is distributed in the United Kingdom and the European Economic Area (EEA) by William Blair International, Ltd., authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). William Blair International, Limited is a limited liability company registered in England and Wales with company number 03619027. This material is only directed and issued to persons regarded as Professional investors or equivalent in their home jurisdiction, or persons falling within articles 19 (5), 38, 47, and 49 of the Financial Services and Markets Act of 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (all such persons being referred to as "relevant persons"). This document must not be acted on or relied on by persons who are not "relevant persons."

"William Blair" and "R*Docs" are registered trademarks of William Blair & Company, L.L.C. Copyright 2024, William Blair & Company, L.L.C. All rights reserved.