Storm Alert – Tropical Storm Rafael – November 5, 2024

Storm Alert - Tropical Storm Rafael - November 5, 2024

Just when we thought hurricane season might finally be winding down, Tropical Storm Rafael has emerged in the Caribbean. With communities still recovering from the devastation of Hurricanes Helene and Milton, Rafael's arrival is unwelcome news for many. Currently moving northwest through the western Caribbean near Jamaica, Rafael is forecasted to strengthen into a Category 2 hurricane by Tuesday, bringing heavy rain, strong winds, and the potential for flooding to areas already impacted by recent storms.

Rafael's projected path through the Gulf of Mexico could directly affect key oil and gas production zones. If it reaches Category 2 status, as anticipated, winds could hit 100 mph, potentially temporarily reducing U.S. oil production by 3.1 to 4.9 million barrels. Some production facilities have begun evacuating non-essential personnel from offshore platforms and paused some operations in preparation, although production remains largely unaffected at this stage.

As this late-season storm approaches, we encourage all customers to monitor the situation closely. Fuel supply disruptions are possible if production facilities are affected, particularly if the storm causes structural damage that prolongs shut-ins. Rafael could have the second-largest impact on offshore production this season, trailing only behind Hurricane Francine.

Mansfield will continue monitoring Tropical Storm Rafael and will provide updates as more information becomes available.

This article is part of Alerts

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